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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">upravlenie</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Государственное и муниципальное управление. Ученые записки</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>State and municipal management. Scholar notes</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">2079-1690</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2687-0290</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Южно-Российский институт управления</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.22394/2079-1690-2023-1-4-62-69</article-id><article-id custom-type="edn" pub-id-type="custom">GHABIE</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">upravlenie-10</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ПРОБЛЕМЫ ЭКОНОМИКИ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>PROBLEMS OF ECONOMICS</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Изменение бюджетных параметров в условиях турбулентности</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Changing budget parameters in conditions of turbulence</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9282-0812</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Климанов</surname><given-names>В. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Klimanov</surname><given-names>V. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Владимир Викторович Климанов, доктор экономических наук, доцент, директор Центра, директор АНО</p><p>Институт прикладных экономических исследований; Центр региональной политики</p><p>Москва</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Vladimir V. Klimanov, Dr. Sci. (Econ.), Associate Professor, Director of the Institute, Director of the Autonomous Non-Commercial Organization</p><p>Institute of Applied Economic Research</p><p>Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">vvk@irof.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0831-2554</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Михайлова</surname><given-names>А. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Mikhaylova</surname><given-names>A. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Анна Александровна Михайлова,  кандидат экономических наук, доцент, ведущий научный сотрудник, заместитель директора АНО</p><p>Институт прикладных экономических исследований</p><p>Москва</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Anna A. Mikhaylova, Cand. Sci. (Econ.), Associate Professor, Leading Researcher, Deputy Director of the Autonomous Non-Commercial Organization</p><p>Institute of Applied Economic Research</p><p>Moscow</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">aam@irof.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru">Российская академия народного хозяйства и государственной службы при Президенте Российской Федерации; Институт реформирования общественных финансов»<country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en">Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration; Autonomous Non-Commercial Organization «Institute for Public Finance Reform»<country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2023</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>14</day><month>11</month><year>2025</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>4</issue><fpage>62</fpage><lpage>69</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Климанов В.В., Михайлова А.А., 2025</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2025</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Климанов В.В., Михайлова А.А.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Klimanov V.V., Mikhaylova A.A.</copyright-holder><license license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://upravlenie-uriu.ranepa.ru/jour/article/view/10">https://upravlenie-uriu.ranepa.ru/jour/article/view/10</self-uri><abstract><p>   Снижение доходов бюджетов, пандемия коронавируса, экономические санкции, вводимые недружественными государствами, и иные подобные факторы, оказывающие значительное влияние на бюджет и бюджетную систему, требуют оперативного принятия управленческих решений. Бюджетная политика всех уровней в Российской Федерации в настоящее время реализуется в условиях сильной турбулентности, сталкиваясь с необходимостью отвечать на вызовы новой реальности. Гипотеза исследования заключалась в том, что существует немало фактов и явлений, отражающих наличие несистемного внешнего воздействия на утверждение и исполнение бюджета, в том числе на федеральном уровне, к которым относятся несбалансированность бюджета, отклонение его исполнения от утвержденного, внесение корректировок в утвержденные объемы доходов и расходов бюджета, асинхронность его исполнения в течение финансового года и др. Используя данные, собранные из федеральных законов о федеральном бюджете с 1999 г., а также данные Казначейства России, мы показываем, что обозначенные выше явления в целом характерны для бюджетной политики Российской Федерации, а элементы ручного управления в кризисные периоды только увеличиваются. При этом у нижестоящих уровней бюджетной системы возможностей ответа на вызовы турбулентного времени меньше, чем у вышестоящих.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>   Declining budget revenues, the coronavirus pandemic, economic sanctions imposed by unfriendly states, and other similar factors that have a significant impact on the budget and budget system require prompt management decisions. The fiscal policy of all budget levels is currently being implemented in conditions of turbulence, faced with the need to respond to the challenges of the new reality. The research hypothesis was that there are many facts and phenomena that reflect the presence of non-systemic external influence on the approval and execution of the budget. These include budget imbalance, deviation of its execution from the approved one, adjustments to the approved volumes of budget revenues and expenditures, asynchrony of its execution in during the financial year, etc. Using data collected from federal laws on the federal budget since 1999, as well as data from the Russian Treasury, we show that the above phenomena are generally characteristic of the budget policy of the Russian Federation, and elements of manual control only increase during crisis periods. At the same time, the lower levels of the budget system have fewer opportunities to respond to the challenges of turbulent time than the higher ones.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>бюджетная политика</kwd><kwd>бюджетная система</kwd><kwd>бюджетные ответы в условиях кризиса</kwd><kwd>вызовы новой реальности</kwd><kwd>исполнение бюджета</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>fiscal policy</kwd><kwd>budget system</kwd><kwd>challenges of new reality</kwd><kwd>budgetary responses to a crisis</kwd><kwd>budget execution</kwd></kwd-group><funding-group xml:lang="ru"><funding-statement>Статья подготовлена по результатам исследований, выполненных в рамках государственного гранта Российского научного фонда. Проект № 22-28-20117 «Бюджетная политика мегаполиса как инструмент ответа на вызовы новой реальности». https://rscf.ru/project/22-28-20117</funding-statement></funding-group><funding-group xml:lang="en"><funding-statement>The research was carried out with the support of the Russian Science Foundation. Project No 22-28-20117 «Fiscal policy of the megacity as a tool for responding to the challenges of New Normal». https://rscf.ru/project/22-28-20117/</funding-statement></funding-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Bloom N. Fluctuations in uncertainty. Journal of Economic Perspectives. 2014; 28 (2):153–176. doi: 10.1257/jep.28.2.153</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Bloom N. Fluctuations in uncertainty. 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